The NFL’s chaotic offseason, which saw a lot of star movement, has resulted in some significant changes in expected over/under win totals for the upcoming season.
This offseason has been one of the wildest in NFL history, thanks to a slew of free agent signings and blockbuster trades that have seen players like Russell Wilson, Deshaun Watson, Davante Adams, and Tyreek Hill switch teams. All of this new player mobility has led to some very interesting victory total estimates for all 32 NFL teams.
To account for all of the player movement in the NFL thus far, DraftKings Sportsbook has produced an early list of over/unders. Among the things Sebastien Carl did on Twitter was make a list of these players, as well as the chances of them winning their division and winning the Super Bowl.
Takeaways from the early over/under totals in the NFL
It’s worth noting that just 31 of the NFL’s 32 clubs currently have a betting total available. Watson is still facing 22 civil lawsuits for sexual assault and might miss time due to violations of the league’s personal conduct rules, so the Browns aren’t on the board.
The Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the highest-scoring teams on the board, both with 11.5-win totals. Buffalo is well-positioned to win in the AFC thanks to the Kansas City Chiefs taking a step back and the AFC West wreaking havoc on top teams.
The Buccaneers benefit from Tom Brady’s return to rule over a division that includes three other teams in transition.
According to the totals, the AFC West is the toughest division in the NFL, with three teams projected to win 10 games and the Las Vegas Raiders in last place with eight projected victories. The Houston Texans, New York Jets, Atlanta Falcons, and Detroit Lions have the lowest victory totals, all with over/under totals under 6.